BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Penn State
Class: 1A Class Rank: 12 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (6-3) Overall: (9-3) Overall Strength = 173.09
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2018 Home W 170.51 45 38 1A 34 ( 11- 2) Appalachian St -3.81 10.81
2 09/08/2018 Away W 205.93 51 6 1A 52 ( 7- 6) Pittsburgh 31.61 13.39
3 09/15/2018 Home W 187.81 63 10 1A 115 ( 2- 10) Kent St 13.49 * 39.51
4 09/21/2018 Away W * 184.40 63 24 1A 102 ( 4- 8) Illinois 10.08 28.92
5 09/29/2018 Home L * 173.74 26 27 1A 10 ( 12- 1) Ohio State -0.58 -0.42
6 10/13/2018 Home L * 157.65 17 21 1A 35 ( 7- 5) Michigan St -16.67 12.67
7 10/20/2018 Away W * 165.55 33 28 1A 56 ( 5- 7) Indiana -8.77 13.77
8 10/27/2018 Home W * 176.51 30 24 1A 15 ( 8- 4) Iowa 2.19 3.81
9 11/03/2018 Away L * 146.72 7 42 1A 4 ( 10- 2) Michigan -27.60 -7.40
10 11/10/2018 Home W * 172.31 22 10 1A 41 ( 7- 5) Wisconsin -2.01 14.01
11 11/17/2018 Away W * 157.15 20 7 1A 103 ( 1- 11) Rutgers -17.17 30.17
12 11/24/2018 Home W * 193.57 38 3 1A 47 ( 5- 7) Maryland 19.25 15.75
13 01/01/2019 Neutral 1A 13 ( 9- 3) Kentucky 0.17
Averages 174.32 34.6 20.0
Best game: 205.93 = 45 point win over Pittsburgh
Worst game: 146.72 = 35 point loss to Michigan
Team stdev: 16.76